5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 04 Jul 2025 20:44:53 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 04 Jul 2025 20:44:53 GMT
Local Statement for Charleston, SC
Issued at 451 PM EDT
Tropical Depression Three Graphics
Tropical Depression Three Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUL 04 2025
093
FONT13 KNHC 042034
PWSAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032025
2100 UTC FRI JUL 04 2025
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SURF CITY NC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) 7(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CHARLESTON SC 34 1 13(14) 15(29) 6(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 1 12(13) 13(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Tropical Depression Three Forecast Discussion Number 1
Issued at 500 PM EDT Fri Jul 04 2025
000 WTNT43 KNHC 042035 TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Three Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032025 500 PM EDT Fri Jul 04 2025 The wind circulation associated with the low pressure area east of the coast of north Florida has become stronger, with aircraft and scatterometer data indicating a well-defined circulation with maximum winds near 30 kt and a radius of maximum wind of about 80-90 n mi. The system has also developed persistent convection east and southeast of the center. Based on these developments, advisories are being started on Tropical Depression Three. The cyclone is currently being affected by 20-25 kt of southwesterly shear caused by a mid- to upper-level trough not far to the west. The initial motion is uncertain due to some reformation of the center, with the best estimate of 360/2 kt. During the next 24 h, the cyclone should move slowly north-northwestward on the northeast side of a developing mid- to upper-level low over the northeastern Gulf. After that time, the system should be steered northward with a gradual increase in forward speed. This motion should bring the center near or over the coast of South Carolina Sunday morning. A generally northward motion should then continue until the system dissipates over land. While the guidance generally agrees with this scenario, there is considerable spread in both the forecast direction and speed, with the HWRF being a notable right outlier. The forecast track is in best agreement with the GFS and the HCCA corrected consensus model. The current shear is expected to diminish on Saturday as the upper-level trough moves westward away from the cyclone and the upper-level winds become southerly. However, the upper-level winds are forecast to become convergent, which may limit the amount of convection the system produces. Most of the guidance shows some development as the system approaches the coast, so the intensity forecast calls for modest strengthening to a tropical storm before the cyclone makes landfall. This forecast is a little below the intensity consensus. Key Messages: 1. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area beginning Saturday and continuing through Sunday morning. 2. Heavy rainfall across the coastal Carolinas will cause some flash flooding from Saturday through Monday. Isolated to scattered flash flooding could occur within more urbanized areas along the coastal plain of the Carolinas. 3. The system is expected to bring rough surf and rip currents to much of the Carolina coastline during the next couple of days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/2100Z 30.8N 79.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 05/0600Z 31.3N 79.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 05/1800Z 31.7N 79.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 06/0600Z 32.4N 80.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 48H 06/1800Z 33.7N 80.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 60H 07/0600Z 35.0N 79.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 72H 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
Remnants of Barry Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 30 Jun 2025 08:32:20 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 30 Jun 2025 09:21:23 GMT
Remnants of Barry Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
Issued at 0900 UTC MON JUN 30 2025
319
FONT12 KNHC 300831
PWSAT2
REMNANTS OF BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022025
0900 UTC MON JUN 30 2025
AT 0900Z THE REMNANTS OF BARRY WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH
...LONGITUDE 99.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30
MPH...45 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME...
AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED...
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Remnants of Barry Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 30 Jun 2025 08:32:20 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 30 Jun 2025 08:32:20 GMT
Tropical Depression Barry Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 30 Jun 2025 02:34:39 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 30 Jun 2025 03:22:05 GMT
Tropical Depression Barry Forecast Discussion Number 6
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025
651 WTNT42 KNHC 300233 TCDAT2 Tropical Depression Barry Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022025 1000 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025 Satellite and radar imagery show that Barry became less defined over the past several hours, and this has made the center difficult to locate. It is estimated that the system made landfall an hour or two ago, to the south of Tampico Mexico. Deep convection associated with the cyclone has diminished since earlier today. Strong westerly shear has apparently caused the system to weaken to a depression by the time it reached the coast. The current intensity estimate is set to 30 kt, which is in agreement with a Dvorak T-number from TAFB. Barry's initial motion estimate is still northwestward, or 320/8 kt, while being steered by the flow to the west of a high pressure system over the central Gulf. This general motion is likely to continue for the next 12-24 hours, taking the system farther inland. Barry should dissipate over the mountainous terrain of Mexico on Monday. The primary impact with Barry remains heavy rainfall and flash flooding for the upslope areas of eastern Mexico. Please see the latest forecast rainfall graphic from the Weather Prediction Center International Desk for more information. Key Message: 1. Barry or its remnants will produce heavy rainfall across portions of northeastern Mexico through Monday. Life-threatening flooding and mudslides are possible, particularly in areas of steep terrain. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/0300Z 22.0N 97.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 12H 30/1200Z 22.7N 98.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tropical Depression Barry Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 30 Jun 2025 02:34:39 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 30 Jun 2025 02:34:39 GMT
Tropical Depression Barry Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
Issued at 0300 UTC MON JUN 30 2025
299
FONT12 KNHC 300232
PWSAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022025
0300 UTC MON JUN 30 2025
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
TAMPICO MX 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Tropical Storm Barry Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 23:58:51 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 21:21:47 GMT
Tropical Storm Barry Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 20:37:56 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 21:21:47 GMT
Tropical Storm Barry Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 20:37:56 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 21:21:49 GMT
Tropical Storm Barry Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUN 29 2025
000
FONT12 KNHC 292036
PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022025
2100 UTC SUN JUN 29 2025
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
TAMPICO MX 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
Tropical Storm Barry Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 20:37:56 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 20:37:56 GMT
Tropical Storm Barry Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 17:38:30 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 15:21:26 GMT
Tropical Storm Barry Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 17:38:30 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 15:21:26 GMT
Tropical Storm Barry Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 14:56:50 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 15:21:26 GMT
Tropical Storm Barry Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 14:56:50 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 15:21:26 GMT
Tropical Storm Barry Forecast Discussion Number 4
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025
000 WTNT42 KNHC 291507 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Barry Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022025 1000 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025 Convective activity with the system has increased somewhat this morning, though it is not terribly well-organized, thanks in large part to continued 25-30 kt westerly vertical wind shear over the system. Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance is currently sampling the system, and has found a better defined center this morning with fixes also indicating that the system is gaining more latitude. Within the past 20 minutes, a northeast inbound leg into the storm found 850 mb flight level winds of 43 kt, and a dropsonde with a surface wind gust of 39 kt. This recent wind information is the primary basis for increasing the winds to 35 kt, making the depression Tropical Storm Barry. Aircraft fixes indicate the storm is now moving northwestward, with the motion estimated at 310/5 kt. A narrow low-to-mid level ridge over the central Gulf should continue to steer the tropical cyclone in this direction until it makes landfall over eastern Mexico by the end of today or tonight. The latest NHC track forecast is just a bit more northwestward compared to the prior one, mostly accounting for changes in the initial position, but remain in good agreement with the track guidance consensus. As mentioned previously, the strongest winds are expected to occur north of the center along the coast within the tropical storm warning area this afternoon and tonight. An upper-level trough located over southern Texas appears partially responsible for the unfavorable upper-level winds currently over the tropical storm. This is unlikely to change today, and in fact might even get worse as upper-level outflow from newly formed Tropical Storm Flossie in the eastern Pacific becomes more pronounced. Despite the shear, waters over the Gulf remain warm (28-29 C) and there is plenty of deep-layer moisture. The upper-level flow pattern is also quite difluent over the system, so the latest NHC intensity forecast shows a little more intensification before landfall tonight over eastern Mexico. This is more or less in line with the regional hurricane model guidance (e.g., HWRF and HAFS-B). The system should then weaken quickly as soon as it moves inland overnight with complete dissipation over the rugged terrain of central Mexico by the end of the day Monday. The primary impacts with Barry remain heavy rainfall and flash flooding for portions of eastern Mexico in upslope terrain as the system moves inland over the area of over the next day or two. Key Messages: 1. Tropical Storm Barry will produce heavy rainfall across portions of northeastern Mexico. Life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain, are possible. 2. Tropical storm conditions, especially in gusts, are expected later today and tonight over portions of eastern Mexico in the tropical storm warning area. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/1500Z 20.4N 96.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 30/0000Z 21.2N 97.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 30/1200Z 22.0N 98.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 36H 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Papin
Tropical Storm Barry Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 14:56:50 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 14:56:50 GMT
Tropical Storm Barry Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 14:56:50 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 14:56:50 GMT
Tropical Storm Barry Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUN 29 2025
153
FONT12 KNHC 291455
PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022025
1500 UTC SUN JUN 29 2025
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
TAMPICO MX 34 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
TUXPAN MX 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
Tropical Depression Two Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 11:52:42 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 09:21:19 GMT
Tropical Depression Two Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 11:52:42 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 09:21:19 GMT
Tropical Depression Two Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 08:34:35 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 09:21:19 GMT
Tropical Depression Two Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 08:34:35 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jun 2025 08:34:35 GMT
Tropical Depression Two Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUN 29 2025
452
FONT12 KNHC 290833
PWSAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022025
0900 UTC SUN JUN 29 2025
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
TAMPICO MX 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TUXPAN MX 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
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FORECASTER CANGIALOSI