The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 1100 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024
Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl Public Advisory Number 49
The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 500 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024
Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl Public Advisory Number 48
The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 1100 AM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024
Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl Public Advisory Number 47
The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 400 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024
Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl Public Advisory Number 46
The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 1000 PM CDT Tue Jul 09 2024
Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl Public Advisory Number 45
The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 400 PM CDT Tue Jul 09 2024
Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl Public Advisory Number 44
The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 1000 AM CDT Tue Jul 09 2024
Tropical Depression Beryl Public Advisory Number 43
The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 400 AM CDT Tue Jul 09 2024
Tropical Depression Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 42
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUL 09 2024
000 WTNT22 KNHC 090234 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 0300 UTC TUE JUL 09 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 94.3W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 94.3W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 94.8W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 34.9N 92.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 38.1N 89.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 40.9N 85.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 43.0N 82.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 44.8N 79.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 46.5N 75.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.8N 94.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON BERYL. THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING AT 0900 UTC, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCMAT2, WMO HEADER WTNT22 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV. RAINFALL FORECASTS FOR THE UNITED STATES CAN ALWAYS BE FOUND AT HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML AND OUTLOOKS OF FLASH FLOOD RISKS CAN BE FOUND AT HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESSIVE_RAINFALL_OUTLOOK_ERO.PHP . $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tropical Depression Beryl Public Advisory Number 42
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024
000 WTNT32 KNHC 090234 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Beryl Advisory Number 42 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1000 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024 ...FLOODING RAINS AND THE RISK OF TORNADOES CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS, WESTERN LOUISIANA AND ARKANSAS... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.8N 94.3W ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ENE OF TYLER TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Beryl was located near latitude 32.8 North, longitude 94.3 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Beryl is expected to become a remnant low on Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. STORM SURGE: Water levels remain elevated along the Texas coast, but should continue to recede overnight. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge. TORNADOES: Several tornadoes are possible through tonight across parts of east Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. The tornado risk will spread into southeast Missouri, northern Tennessee, Kentucky, southern Illinois, southern Indiana, and Ohio on Tuesday. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 3 to 5 inches, with locally higher amounts, is expected across portions of far southeastern Oklahoma, Arkansas and southern Missouri through Tuesday. Local flash and urban flooding is expected. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Depression Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to gradually decrease during the next day or so. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tropical Depression Beryl Public Advisory Number 41A
Issued at 700 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024
000 WTNT32 KNHC 082345 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 41A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 700 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024 ...BERYL CONTINUES TO PRODUCE FLOODING RAINS AND THE RISK OF TORNADOES ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS, WESTERN LOUISIANA AND ARKANSAS... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.2N 94.8W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ESE OF TYLER TEXAS ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SW OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: All Tropical Storm and Storm Surge Warnings have been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Beryl was located near latitude 32.2 North, longitude 94.8 West. Beryl is moving toward the north-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will move through the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Ohio Valley on Tuesday and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast, and Beryl is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone on Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches) based on surface observations. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. STORM SURGE: Water levels remain elevated along the Texas coast, but should continue to recede overnight. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge. TORNADOES: Several tornadoes are possible through tonight across parts of east Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. The tornado risk will spread into southeast Missouri, northern Tennessee, Kentucky, southern Illinois, southern Indiana, and Ohio on Tuesday. RAINFALL: An additional 4 to 8 inches of rainfall with localized amounts of 12 inches is expected across portions of eastern Texas through tonight. Considerable flash and urban flooding as well as minor to isolated major river flooding is expected. Heavy rainfall of 3 to 5 inches, with locally higher amounts, is expected across portions of far southeastern Oklahoma, Arkansas and southern Missouri through Tuesday. Locally considerable flash and urban flooding is possible. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Depression Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to gradually decrease during the next day or so. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tropical Storm Beryl Public Advisory Number 41
Issued at 400 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024
000 WTNT32 KNHC 082053 CCA TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 41...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 400 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024 ...BERYL PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING AND TORNADOES OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA... ...DEADLY HAZARDS REMAIN AFTER THE STORM INCLUDING DOWNED POWER LINES AND CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING FROM IMPROPER GENERATOR USE... Corrected typo in Watches and Warnings section SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.3N 95.1W ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM SSE OF TYLER TEXAS ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM N OF HOUSTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued from Port O'Connor to San Luis Pass. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * North of San Luis Pass to Sabine Pass, including Galveston Bay A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast from north of Port Bolivar to Sabine Pass A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located near latitude 31.3 North, longitude 95.1 West. Beryl is moving toward the north-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected tonight and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will move over eastern Texas today, then move through the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Ohio Valley on Tuesday and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast, and Beryl is expected to become a tropical depression tonight or overnight and a post-tropical cyclone on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km), primarily southeast of the center. A National Ocean Service station near Sabine Pass (TXPT2) recently reported sustained winds of 43 mph (69 km/h), and a wind gust of 56 mph (90 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.32 inches) based on surface observations. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... San Luis Pass, TX to Sabine Pass, TX...3-5 ft Galveston Bay...3-5 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge. TORNADOES: Several tornadoes are possible through tonight across parts of east Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. The tornado risk will spread into southeast Missouri, northern Tennessee, Kentucky, southern Illinois, southern Indiana, and Ohio on Tuesday. RAINFALL: An additional 4 to 8 inches of rainfall with localized amounts of 12 inches is expected across portions of eastern Texas through tonight. Considerable flash and urban flooding as well as minor to isolated major river flooding is expected. Heavy rainfall of 3 to 5 inches, with locally higher amounts, is expected across portions of far southeastern Oklahoma, Arkansas and southern Missouri through Tuesday. Locally considerable flash and urban flooding is possible. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the northern and western Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next day or so. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within the tropical storm warning area for the next few hours. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tropical Storm Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 41
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 08 2024
000 WTNT22 KNHC 082032 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 2100 UTC MON JUL 08 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 95.1W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 110SE 30SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 95.1W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 95.5W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.2N 93.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 36.2N 91.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 39.1N 87.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 41.6N 83.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 43.5N 80.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 45.0N 77.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N 95.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 09/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tropical Storm Beryl Public Advisory Number 41
Issued at 400 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024
507 WTNT32 KNHC 082033 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 41 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 400 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024 ...BERYL PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING AND TORNADOES OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA... ...DEADLY HAZARDS REMAIN AFTER THE STORM INCLUDING DOWNED POWER LINES AND CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING FROM IMPROPER GENERATOR USE... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.3N 95.1W ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM SSE OF TYLER TEXAS ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM N OF HOUSTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued from Port O'Connor to San Luis Pass to Port Bolivar. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * North of San Luis Pass to Sabine Pass, including Galveston Bay A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast from north of Port Bolivar to Sabine Pass A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located near latitude 31.3 North, longitude 95.1 West. Beryl is moving toward the north-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected tonight and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will move over eastern Texas today, then move through the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Ohio Valley on Tuesday and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast, and Beryl is expected to become a tropical depression tonight or overnight and a post-tropical cyclone on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km), primarily southeast of the center. A National Ocean Service station near Sabine Pass (TXPT2) recently reported sustained winds of 43 mph (69 km/h), and a wind gust of 56 mph (90 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.32 inches) based on surface observations. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... San Luis Pass, TX to Sabine Pass, TX...3-5 ft Galveston Bay...3-5 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge. TORNADOES: Several tornadoes are possible through tonight across parts of east Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. The tornado risk will spread into southeast Missouri, northern Tennessee, Kentucky, southern Illinois, southern Indiana, and Ohio on Tuesday. RAINFALL: An additional 4 to 8 inches of rainfall with localized amounts of 12 inches is expected across portions of eastern Texas through tonight. Considerable flash and urban flooding as well as minor to isolated major river flooding is expected. Heavy rainfall of 3 to 5 inches, with locally higher amounts, is expected across portions of far southeastern Oklahoma, Arkansas and southern Missouri through Tuesday. Locally considerable flash and urban flooding is possible. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the northern and western Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next day or so. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within the tropical storm warning area for the next few hours. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tropical Storm Beryl Public Advisory Number 40A
Issued at 100 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024
000 WTNT32 KNHC 081755 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 40A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 100 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024 ...FLASH FLOODING AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING OVER EASTERN TEXAS... ...USE CAUTION AFTER THE STORM AS DEADLY HAZARDS REMAIN INCLUDING DOWNED POWERLINES AND CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING FROM IMPROPER GENERATOR USE... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.5N 95.5W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF HOUSTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from Port O'Connor to San Luis Pass. The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued from Port O'Connor to San Luis Pass. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * North of San Luis Pass to Sabine Pass, including Galveston Bay A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast from north of San Luis Pass to Sabine Pass A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located by NWS radar data near latitude 30.5 North, longitude 95.5 West. Beryl is moving toward the north-northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected tonight and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will move over eastern Texas today, then move through the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Ohio Valley on Tuesday and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady weakening is forecast, and Beryl is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km), mostly southeast from the center. A National Ocean Service station near the entrance to Galveston Bay (GNJT2) recently reported sustained winds of 46 mph (74 km/h), and a wind gust of 58 mph (93 km/h). Huntsville Municipal Airport (KUTS) in Texas measured a wind gust of 56 mph (90 km/h), and Beaumont/Port Arthur Regional Airport (KBPT) recently reported a wind gust of 54 mph (87 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches) based on surface observations. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within the tropical storm warning area for the next few hours. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... San Luis Pass, TX to Sabine Pass, TX...3-5 ft Galveston Bay...3-5 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the Upper Texas Coast and eastern Texas today into tonight. Considerable flash and urban flooding as well as minor to isolated major river flooding is expected. Heavy rainfall of 3 to 5 inches, with locally higher amounts possible, is expected across portions of far southeastern Oklahoma, Arkansas and southern Missouri tonight into Tuesday. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html TORNADOES: Several tornadoes are possible through tonight across parts of east Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the northern and western Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next day or so. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tropical Storm Beryl Update Statement
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024
000 WTNT62 KNHC 081657 TCUAT2 Tropical Storm Beryl Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1200 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024 ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, AND FLOODING RAINFALL PERSISTING OVER EASTERN TEXAS... ...1200 PM CDT POSITION UPDATE... Montgomery County Airport in Conroe (KCXO) recently reported a wind gust to 81 mph (130 km/h). This is the last hourly position estimate for Beryl. The next information will be the regularly scheduled 1 PM CDT Intermediate advisory. SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.3N 95.6W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NNW OF HOUSTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES $$ Forecaster Blake
Tropical Storm Beryl Public Advisory Number 40
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024
000 WTNT32 KNHC 081450 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 40 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1000 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024 ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, AND FLOODING RAINFALL CONTINUING OVER EASTERN TEXAS... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.8N 95.7W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM WNW OF HOUSTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from Port O'Connor to Mesquite Bay, TX The Hurricane Warning from Mesquite Bay northward to Port O'Connor has been discontinued. The Hurricane Warning from north of Port O'Connor to Port Bolivar has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Port O'Connor to Sabine Pass, including Matagorda Bay and Galveston Bay A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast from north of Port O'Connor northward to Sabine Pass A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located by NWS radar data near latitude 29.8 North, longitude 95.7 West. Beryl is moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected tonight and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will move over eastern Texas today, then move through the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Ohio Valley on Tuesday and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady weakening is forecast, and Beryl is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. Houston Hobby Airport recently reported a wind gust of 84 mph (135 km/h), and Bush Intercontinental Airport recently reported a wind gust of 83 mph (134 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches) based on surface observations. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. WIND: Tropical storm conditions with damaging wind gusts will continue within the tropical storm warning area for the next several hours. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Freeport, TX to High Island, TX...4-6 ft Galveston Bay...4-6 ft High Island, TX to Sabine Pass, TX...3-5 ft Matagorda, TX to Freeport, TX...3-5 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the Upper Texas Coast and eastern Texas today into tonight. Considerable flash and urban flooding as well as minor to isolated major river flooding is expected. Heavy rainfall of 3 to 5 inches, with locally higher amounts possible, is expected across portions of far southeastern Oklahoma, Arkansas and southern Missouri tonight into Tuesday. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html TORNADOES: Several tornadoes are possible through tonight across parts of east Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the northern and western Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next day or so. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tropical Storm Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 40
Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUL 08 2024
000 WTNT22 KNHC 081449 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 1500 UTC MON JUL 08 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 95.7W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 95.7W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 95.9W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 31.5N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.9N 93.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 36.7N 89.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 39.7N 86.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 42.2N 82.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 44.0N 78.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 95.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 08/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Hurricane Beryl Public Advisory Number 39A
Issued at 700 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024
710 WTNT32 KNHC 081158 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 39A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 700 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024 ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WINDS AND FLOODING RAINFALL OVERSPREADING SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS FROM BERYL... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.2N 95.8W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NNE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SW OF HOUSTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Mesquite Bay to Sabine Pass, including Matagorda Bay and Galveston Bay A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast from Mesquite Bay northward to Port Bolivar A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast north of Port Bolivar to Sabine Pass A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 29.2 North, longitude 95.8 West. Beryl is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected tonight and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will move over eastern Texas today, then move through the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Ohio Valley on Tuesday and Wednesday. National Weather Service Doppler radar data indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady weakening is expected as the center moves inland, and Beryl is expected to weaken to a tropical storm later today and to a tropical depression on Tuesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). San Bernard National Wildlife Refuge recently reported a wind gust of 87 mph (140 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches). Bay City Regional Airport reported 980 mb (28.94 inches) inside the eye of Beryl about an hour ago. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. WIND: Hurricane conditions are spreading across portions of the warning area at this time and will continue for the next several hours. Tropical storm conditions are occurring elsewhere in the warning area. Tropical storm conditions are spreading across the tropical storm warning area along the upper Texas coast and will continue during the next several hours. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Port O'Connor, TX to San Luis Pass, TX...4-7 ft Matagorda Bay...4-7 ft San Luis Pass, TX to High Island, TX...4-6 ft Galveston Bay...4-6 ft Mesquite Bay, TX to Port O'Connor, TX...3-5 ft High Island, TX to Sabine Pass, TX...3-5 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the middle and upper Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas today into tonight. Considerable flash and urban flooding as well as minor to isolated major river flooding is expected. Heavy rainfall of 3 to 5 inches, with locally higher amounts possible, is expected across portions of far southeastern Oklahoma, Arkansas and southern Missouri tonight into Tuesday. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero TORNADOES: A few tornadoes may occur tonight along the upper Texas Coast, and several tornadoes are possible today across parts of east Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next day or two. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
Hurricane Beryl Forecast Discussion Number 39
Issued at 400 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024
000 WTNT42 KNHC 080907 TCDAT2 Hurricane Beryl Discussion Number 39 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 400 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024 The strengthening forecast by the regional hurricane models began in earnest just after the last advisory was issued. Doppler radar and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft data indicate that Beryl regained hurricane strength near 04Z, and intensification continued until the just-occurred landfall of the 28 n mi wide eye on the Texas coast. The landfall central pressure was near 979 mb, and the maximum winds were near 70 kt. The initial motion is 355/10. Beryl should move northward for the next 12 h through a break in the subtropical ridge, with the center moving through eastern Texas. After that, the cyclone should turn northeastward with an increase in forward speed, with the cyclone accelerating across the lower Mississippi Valley and into the Ohio Valley until dissipation occurs between 72-96 h. The new forecast track is similar to the previous forecast. Now that Beryl is moving inland, it should quickly weaken, with the system becoming a tropical storm in the next few hours and a tropical depression in a little over 24 hours. After that, the cyclone should merge with a frontal system over Mississippi Valley and become an extratropical low before it dissipates. Key Messages: 1. There is a continuing danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation along the coast of Texas from Mesquite Bay to Sabine Pass, including Matagorda Bay and Galveston Bay. Residents in those areas should follow any advice given by local officials. 2. Beryl is bringing damaging hurricane-force winds to portions of the Texas coast this morning. A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Mesquite Bay to Port Bolivar. 3. Considerable flash and urban flooding is expected today into tonight across portions of the middle and upper Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas. Minor to isolated major river flooding is also expected. 4. Rip currents will cause life-threatening beach conditions through Tuesday across much of the Gulf Coast. Beachgoers should heed warning flags and the advice of lifeguards and local officials before venturing into the water. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0900Z 28.6N 96.0W 70 KT 80 MPH...ON COAST 12H 08/1800Z 30.4N 95.8W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND 24H 09/0600Z 32.7N 94.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 36H 09/1800Z 35.0N 92.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 48H 10/0600Z 37.5N 89.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 60H 10/1800Z 40.0N 85.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 72H 11/0600Z 42.0N 83.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 96H 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
Hurricane Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 39
Issued at 0900 UTC MON JUL 08 2024
000 WTNT22 KNHC 080908 TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 0900 UTC MON JUL 08 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 96.0W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..105NE 120SE 60SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 96.0W AT 08/0900Z...ON COAST AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 95.9W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 30.4N 95.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 32.7N 94.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 35.0N 92.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 37.5N 89.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 40.0N 85.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 42.0N 83.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.6N 96.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 08/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Hurricane Beryl Public Advisory Number 39
Issued at 400 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024
000 WTNT32 KNHC 080853 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Advisory Number 39 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 400 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024 ...CENTER OF BERYL MAKES LANDFALL NEAR MATAGORDA TEXAS... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND STRONG WINDS OCCURRING WITH FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.6N 96.0W ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM N OF MATAGORDA TEXAS ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SSW OF HOUSTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued south of Mesquite Bay Texas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Mesquite Bay to Sabine Pass, including Matagorda Bay and Galveston Bay A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast from Mesquite Bay northward to Port Bolivar A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast north of Port Bolivar to Sabine Pass A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 28.6 North, longitude 96.0 West. Beryl is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected tonight and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will move over eastern Texas today, then move through the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Ohio Valley on Tuesday and Wednesday. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and National Weather Service Doppler radar data indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady to rapid weakening is expected as the center moves inland, and Beryl is expected to weaken to a tropical storm later today and to a tropical depression on Tuesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). A National Ocean Service Station near Freeport, Texas, recently reported a sustained wind of 71 mph (114 km/h) and a wind gust of 87 mph (140 km/h). A WeatherFlow station at Surfside Beach, Texas, recently reported a wind gust of 85 mph (137 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 979 mb (28.91 inches). Weatherflow and National Ocean Service stations near Matagorda recently reported pressures near 981 mb (28.97 inches) inside the eye of Beryl. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. WIND: Hurricane conditions are spreading across portions of the warning area at this time and will continue for the next several hours. Tropical storm conditions are occurring elsewhere in the warning area. Tropical storm conditions are spreading across the tropical storm warning area along the upper Texas coast and will continue during the next several hours. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Port O'Connor, TX to San Luis Pass, TX...4-7 ft Matagorda Bay...4-7 ft San Luis Pass, TX to High Island, TX...4-6 ft Galveston Bay...4-6 ft Mesquite Bay, TX to Port O'Connor, TX...3-5 ft High Island, TX to Sabine Pass, TX...3-5 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the middle and upper Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas today into tonight. Considerable flash and urban flooding as well as minor to isolated major river flooding is expected. Heavy rainfall of 3 to 5 inches, with locally higher amounts possible, is expected across portions of far southeastern Oklahoma, Arkansas and southern Missouri tonight into Tuesday. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero TORNADOES: A few tornadoes may occur tonight along the upper Texas Coast, and several tornadoes are possible today across parts of east Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next day or two. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
Hurricane Beryl Public Advisory Number 38A
Issued at 100 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024
203 WTNT32 KNHC 080542 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 38A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 100 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024 ...BERYL STRENGTHENING AS THE CENTER APPROACHES THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST... ...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING WITH DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, FLASH FLOODING, AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.2N 95.9W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM ENE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Mesquite Bay to Sabine Pass, including Matagorda Bay and Galveston Bay A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast from Mesquite Bay northward to Port Bolivar A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast south of Mesquite Bay to Port Mansfield * The Texas coast north of Port Bolivar to Sabine Pass A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 28.2 North, longitude 95.9 West. Beryl is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected this morning. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to make landfall on the middle Texas coast during the next several hours. Beryl is forecast to turn northeastward and move farther inland over eastern Texas and Arkansas late Monday and Tuesday. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and coastal Doppler radar data indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected before the center reaches the Texas coast. Significant weakening is expected after landfall. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. A WeatherFlow station at Matagorda, Texas, recently reported sustained winds of 48 mph (77 km/h) and a wind gust of 69 mph (111 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 984 mb (29.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning during the next several hours. Tropical storm conditions are currently spreading across the warning area. Tropical storm conditions will spread across the tropical storm warning area in south Texas during the next several hours. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area along the upper Texas coast during the next several hours. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Port O'Connor, TX to San Luis Pass, TX...4-7 ft Matagorda Bay...4-7 ft San Luis Pass, TX to High Island, TX...4-6 ft Galveston Bay...4-6 ft Mesquite Bay, TX to Port O'Connor, TX...3-5 ft High Island, TX to Sabine Pass, TX...3-5 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the middle and upper Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas through Monday night. Considerable flash and urban flooding as well as minor to isolated major river flooding is expected. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero TORNADOES: A few tornadoes may occur tonight along the middle and upper Texas Coast, and on Monday across parts of east Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next day or two. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tropical Storm Beryl Public Advisory Number 38
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024
000 WTNT32 KNHC 080322 CCA TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 38...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1000 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Correct break point to Port Bolivar in Tropical Storm Warning ...BERYL FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A HURRICANE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST EARLY MONDAY... ...CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE OVERNIGHT WITH DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, FLASH FLOODING, AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.6N 95.6W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SSE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM E OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Hurricane Watch from San Luis Pass to Port Bolivar has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning. The Hurricane Warning south of Mesquite Bay has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning. The Tropical Storm Warning south of Baffin Bay has been discontinued. The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from Mesquite Bay to Port Aransas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Mesquite Bay to Sabine Pass, including Matagorda Bay and Galveston Bay A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast from Mesquite Bay northward to Port Bolivar A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast south of Mesquite Bay to Port Mansfield * The Texas coast north of Port Bolivar to Sabine Pass A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located near latitude 27.6 North, longitude 95.6 West. Beryl is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected overnight. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to make landfall on the middle Texas coast early Monday. Beryl is forecast to turn northeastward and move farther inland over eastern Texas and Arkansas late Monday and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected, and Beryl is forecast to become a hurricane before it reaches the Texas coast early Monday. Significant weakening is expected after landfall. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. NOAA buoy 42019 recently reported a sustained wind of 49 mph (79 km/h) and a gust of 56 mph (90 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches) based on dropsonde data. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area by early Monday. Tropical storm conditions will spread across the warning area overnight. Tropical storm conditions will spread across the tropical storm warning area in south Texas overnight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area along the upper Texas coast early Monday. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Port O'Connor, TX to San Luis Pass, TX...4-7 ft Matagorda Bay...4-7 ft San Luis Pass, TX to High Island, TX...4-6 ft Galveston Bay...4-6 ft Mesquite Bay, TX to Port O'Connor, TX...3-5 ft High Island, TX to Sabine Pass, TX...3-5 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the middle and upper Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas through Monday night. Considerable flash and urban flooding as well as minor to isolated major river flooding is expected. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero TORNADOES: A few tornadoes may occur tonight along the middle and upper Texas Coast, and on Monday across parts of east Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next day or two. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Tropical Storm Beryl Forecast Discussion Number 38
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024
000 WTNT42 KNHC 080254 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Beryl Discussion Number 38 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1000 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Radar and satellite trends suggest Beryl is becoming better organized tonight. Deep convection has increased near the center, with new convective elements emerging around the northern and southern portions of the circulation. Tail Doppler Radar data from the NOAA aircraft suggest the radius of maximum wind has contracted a bit, and the vortex has become more vertically aligned. However, the eyewall is open to the west, where there is still some evidence of dry air in the circulation. The intensity was raised to 60 kt based on earlier Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter flight-level wind data (66 kt at 700 mb), and the most recent aircraft pass through the northeast quadrant still supports the 60-kt intensity for this advisory. The minimum pressure has continued to slowly fall, with the latest dropsonde data supporting 986 mb. The environmental and oceanic conditions remain quite favorable for intensification while Beryl approaches the Texas coast overnight. The recent structural changes noted above are expected to allow Beryl to re-strengthen into a hurricane overnight, and the potential for significant intensification leading up to landfall is still indicated by some of the regional hurricane guidance, particularly the HWRF and HMON. At this point, time is the greatest limiting factor as the storm is less than 12 h from landfall. While the 12-h forecast point shows a 65-kt hurricane inland over Texas, the peak intensity is expected between now and the 12-h forecast point, and is thus not explicitly shown in this forecast. After landfall, rapid weakening is expected while the system moves farther inland. The long-term motion of Beryl is north-northwestward at about 9 kt, but recent radar and aircraft fixes have shown a motion just east of due north. A northward motion overnight is expected to bring the center of Beryl inland along the middle Texas coast roughly between Matagorda Bay and Freeport early on Monday morning. The short-term NHC track forecast is just slightly east of the previous one. After landfall, Beryl is forecast to accelerate northeastward ahead of a mid-latitude trough while transitioning to a post-tropical cyclone. Key Messages: 1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation along the coast of Texas from Mesquite Bay to Sabine Pass, including Matagorda Bay and Galveston Bay. Residents in those areas should follow any advice given by local officials and follow evacuation orders. 2. Beryl is forecast to bring damaging hurricane-force winds to portions of the Texas coast early Monday. A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Mesquite Bay to San Luis Pass. 3. Considerable flash and urban flooding is expected tonight through Monday night across portions of the middle and upper Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas. Minor to isolated major river flooding is also expected. 4. Rip currents will cause life-threatening beach conditions through Monday across much of the Gulf Coast. Beachgoers should heed warning flags and the advice of lifeguards and local officials before venturing into the water. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0300Z 27.6N 95.6W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 08/1200Z 29.2N 95.8W 65 KT 75 MPH...INLAND 24H 09/0000Z 31.5N 95.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 36H 09/1200Z 33.7N 93.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 48H 10/0000Z 36.0N 90.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 60H 10/1200Z 38.4N 87.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 72H 11/0000Z 40.4N 84.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 96H 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Tropical Storm Beryl Public Advisory Number 38
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024
000 WTNT32 KNHC 080254 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 38 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1000 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 ...BERYL FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A HURRICANE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST EARLY MONDAY... ...CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE OVERNIGHT WITH DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, FLASH FLOODING, AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.6N 95.6W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SSE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM E OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Hurricane Watch from San Luis Pass to Port Bolivar has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning. The Hurricane Warning south of Mesquite Bay has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning. The Tropical Storm Warning south of Baffin Bay has been discontinued. The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from Mesquite Bay to Port Aransas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Mesquite Bay to Sabine Pass, including Matagorda Bay and Galveston Bay A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast from Mesquite Bay northward to Port Bolivar A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast south of Mesquite Bay to Port Mansfield * The Texas coast north of San Luis Pass to Sabine Pass A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located near latitude 27.6 North, longitude 95.6 West. Beryl is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected overnight. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to make landfall on the middle Texas coast early Monday. Beryl is forecast to turn northeastward and move farther inland over eastern Texas and Arkansas late Monday and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected, and Beryl is forecast to become a hurricane before it reaches the Texas coast early Monday. Significant weakening is expected after landfall. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. NOAA buoy 42019 recently reported a sustained wind of 49 mph (79 km/h) and a gust of 56 mph (90 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches) based on dropsonde data. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area by early Monday. Tropical storm conditions will spread across the warning area overnight. Tropical storm conditions will spread across the tropical storm warning area in south Texas overnight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area along the upper Texas coast early Monday. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Port O'Connor, TX to San Luis Pass, TX...4-7 ft Matagorda Bay...4-7 ft San Luis Pass, TX to High Island, TX...4-6 ft Galveston Bay...4-6 ft Mesquite Bay, TX to Port O'Connor, TX...3-5 ft High Island, TX to Sabine Pass, TX...3-5 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the middle and upper Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas through Monday night. Considerable flash and urban flooding as well as minor to isolated major river flooding is expected. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero TORNADOES: A few tornadoes may occur tonight along the middle and upper Texas Coast, and on Monday across parts of east Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next day or two. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Tropical Storm Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 38
Issued at 0300 UTC MON JUL 08 2024
473 WTNT22 KNHC 080253 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 0300 UTC MON JUL 08 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 95.6W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 95.6W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 95.6W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 29.2N 95.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 31.5N 95.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.7N 93.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 36.0N 90.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 38.4N 87.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 40.4N 84.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 95.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 08/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Tropical Storm Beryl Public Advisory Number 37A
Issued at 700 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024
000 WTNT32 KNHC 072345 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 37A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 700 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 ...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND BERYL SLIGHTLY STRONGER... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, FLASH FLOODING, AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT IN PORTIONS OF TEXAS... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.1N 95.6W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM ESE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Hurricane Warning south of Port Aransas has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning. The Storm Surge Warning south of Port Aransas, including Corpus Christi Bay, has been discontinued. The Tropical Storm Warning south of Port Mansfield has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Port Aransas to Sabine Pass, including Matagorda Bay and Galveston Bay A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast from Port Aransas northward to San Luis Pass A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * The Texas coast north of San Luis Pass to Port Bolivar A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast south of Port Aransas to Port Mansfield * The Texas coast north of San Luis Pass to Sabine Pass A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located near latitude 27.1 North, longitude 95.6 West. Beryl is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue through tonight, with a turn toward the north forecast on Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to make landfall on the middle Texas coast early Monday. Beryl is forecast to turn northeastward and move farther inland over eastern Texas and Arkansas late Monday and Tuesday. Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected, and Beryl is forecast to become a hurricane again tonight. Additional strengthening is expected before Beryl reaches the Texas coast early Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. NOAA buoy 42019 recently reported a sustained wind of 33 mph (54 km/h) and a gust of 42 mph (68 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches) based on Air Force Reserve dropsonde data. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area by early Monday. Winds are first expected to reach tropical storm strength within the next few hours, making outdoor preparations difficult or dangerous. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area by early Monday, with tropical storm conditions beginning by tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area in south Texas starting within the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area along the upper Texas coast early Monday. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Port O'Connor, TX to San Luis Pass, TX...4-7 ft Matagorda Bay...4-7 ft San Luis Pass, TX to High Island, TX...4-6 ft Galveston Bay...4-6 ft Mesquite Bay, TX to Port O'Connor, TX...3-5 ft High Island, TX to Sabine Pass, TX...3-5 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the middle and upper Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas through Monday night. Considerable flash and urban flooding as well as minor to isolated major river flooding is expected. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero TORNADOES: A few tornadoes could occur along the middle and upper Texas Coast through tonight, and across eastern Texas into Louisiana and Arkansas on Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next day or two. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Tropical Storm Beryl Public Advisory Number 37
Issued at 400 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024
955 WTNT32 KNHC 072049 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 37 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 400 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 ...BERYL FORECAST TO BRING DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, FLASH FLOODING AND STRONG WINDS TO TEXAS OVERNIGHT... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.8N 95.5W ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SSE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ESE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for northeastern coast of mainland Mexico from Barra el Mezquital to the mouth of the Rio Grande River. The Storm Surge Watch from North of Baffin Bay, Texas to North Entrance of the Padre Island National Seashore has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * North Entrance of the Padre Island National Seashore to Sabine Pass, including Corpus Christi Bay, Matagorda Bay, and Galveston Bay A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast from Baffin Bay northward to San Luis Pass A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * The Texas coast north of San Luis Pass to Galveston Island A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Texas coast south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande * The Texas coast north of San Luis Pass to Sabine Pass A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located near latitude 26.8 North, longitude 95.5 West. Beryl is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue through tonight, with a turn toward the north forecast on Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to make landfall on the middle Texas coast early Monday. Beryl is forecast to turn northeastward and move farther inland over eastern Texas and Arkansas late Monday and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected, and Beryl is forecast to become a hurricane again tonight. Additional strengthening is expected before Beryl reaches the Texas coast early Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches) based on Air Force Reserve dropsonde data. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area by early Monday. Winds are first expected to reach tropical storm strength by late today, making outdoor preparations difficult or dangerous. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch areas by early Monday, with tropical storm conditions beginning by tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning areas in south Texas starting within the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area along the upper Texas coast early Monday. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Port O'Connor, TX to San Luis Pass, TX...4-7 ft Matagorda Bay...4-7 ft San Luis Pass, TX to High Island, TX...4-6 ft Galveston Bay...4-6 ft Mesquite Bay, TX to Port O'Connor, TX...3-5 ft High Island, TX to Sabine Pass, TX...3-5 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the middle and upper Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas through Monday night. Considerable flash and urban flooding as well as minor to isolated major river flooding is expected. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero TORNADOES: A few tornadoes could occur along the middle and upper Texas Coast through tonight, and across eastern Texas into Louisiana and Arkansas on Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next day or two. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tropical Storm Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 37
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUL 07 2024
321 WTNT22 KNHC 072048 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 2100 UTC SUN JUL 07 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 95.5W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 75SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 95.5W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 95.3W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 28.3N 95.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 30.4N 95.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 32.6N 94.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 34.9N 92.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 37.2N 89.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 39.7N 86.2W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 43.5N 80.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N 95.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 08/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE