Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Thu, 10 Oct 2024 08:42:46 GMT
Hurricane Milton Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Thu, 10 Oct 2024 04:28:19 GMT
Hurricane Milton Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 10 Oct 2024 08:43:46 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 10 Oct 2024 08:43:46 GMT
Hurricane Milton Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics
Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Thu, 10 Oct 2024 09:15:46 GMT
Hurricane Milton Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21
Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024
000
FONT14 KNHC 100841
PWSAT4
HURRICANE MILTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024
0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MILTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BALD HEAD ISL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LITTLE RIVER 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHARLESTON SC 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KINGS BAY GA 34 32 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
THE VILLAGES 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ORLANDO FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PATRICK AFB 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PATRICK AFB 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT PIERCE FL 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MIAMI FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MARATHON FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NAPLES FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT MYERS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 29 3(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Hurricane Milton Forecast Discussion Number 21
Issued at 500 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024
000 WTNT44 KNHC 100842 TCDAT4 Hurricane Milton Discussion Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 500 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Milton moved quickly across central Florida overnight, producing significant flooding and damaging winds near its path. The center of the hurricane is now exiting the state near Cape Canaveral, and the worst conditions have shifted to east-central and northeastern Florida. The initial intensity is set to 75 kt based on Doppler radar velocity data and surface observations, with the strongest winds likely occurring just offshore of east-central Florida. Milton is expected to remain a hurricane a little longer, but the models are in good agreement that it will develop frontal characteristics by tonight, and therefore, the official forecast shows the system becoming extratropical in 24 hours. The extratropical low is expected to gradually weaken and dissipate in about 4 days. The NHC intensity forecast is in best agreement with the GFS model, which typically performs better than the standard hurricane models for transitioning systems. The hurricane is moving quickly northeastward between a trough just to its west and a ridge near the Greater Antilles. A turn to the east is expected to occur soon as the flow becomes more zonal, taking the system to the north of the Bahamas later today and south of Bermuda on Saturday. The NHC track forecast is a little faster than the previous one to be in better agreement with the latest models. Key Messages: 1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge along the coast from east-central Florida northward to southern Georgia, where a Storm Surge Warning remains in effect. 2. Damaging hurricane-force winds, especially in gusts, will continue for a few more hours in east-central and northeastern Florida. Residents are urged to remain in an interior room and away from windows. 3. Heavy rainfall across the central to northern Florida Peninsula through this morning continues to bring the risk of considerable flash and urban flooding along with moderate to major river flooding, especially in areas where coastal and inland flooding combine to increase the overall flood threat. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/0900Z 28.5N 80.5W 75 KT 85 MPH 12H 10/1800Z 29.3N 78.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 11/0600Z 29.6N 74.2W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 11/1800Z 29.6N 70.3W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 12/0600Z 29.7N 67.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 12/1800Z 29.9N 63.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 13/0600Z 30.6N 60.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Hurricane Leslie Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 10 Oct 2024 08:45:10 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 10 Oct 2024 08:45:11 GMT
Hurricane Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 32
Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024
000
FONT13 KNHC 100842
PWSAT3
HURRICANE LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PONTA DELGADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI
Hurricane Milton Update Statement
Issued at 300 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024
000 WTNT64 KNHC 100658 TCUAT4 Hurricane Milton Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 300 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 ...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA... ...300 AM EDT POSITION UPDATE... A sustained wind of 63 mph (101 km/h) and a gust to 73 mph (117 km/h) was recently reported at a Weatherstem station on South Hutchinson Island. A sustained wind of 61 mph (98 km/h) and a gust of 81 mph (130 km/h) was recently reported at Daytona Beach International Airport. A sustained wind of 61 mph (98 km/h) and a gust of 77 mph (124 km/h) was recently reported at a NASA weather station at Cape Canaveral. A sustained wind of 40 mph (64 km/h) and a gust of 62 mph (100 km/h) was recently reported at Melbourne International Airport. The next position update will be at 0400 AM EDT (0800 UTC). SUMMARY OF 300 AM EDT...0700 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.3N 80.9W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM ESE OF ORLANDO FLORIDA ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM WSW OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Mahoney
Hurricane Milton Update Statement
Issued at 1200 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024
754 WTNT64 KNHC 100357 TCUAT4 Hurricane Milton Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 1200 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 ...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA AND DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUE SPREADING INLAND... ...1200 AM EDT POSITION UPDATE... A sustained wind of 58 mph (93 km/h) and a gust of 93 mph (150 km/h) was recently reported at the Tampa International Airport and at a Citizen Weather Observer Program station in Dundee. A sustained wind of 45 mph (72 km/h) and a gust of 64 mph (104 km/h) was recently reported at Orlando Executive Airport. A sustained wind of 44 mph (69 km/h) and a gust of 54 mph (87 km/h) was recently reported at a WeatherFlow station near Melbourne. The next position update will be at 100 AM EDT (0500 UTC). SUMMARY OF 1200 AM EDT...0400 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.8N 81.8W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SSW OF ORLANDO FLORIDA ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM WSW OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Mahoney
Hurricane Milton Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Wed, 09 Oct 2024 22:27:36 GMT
Hurricane Milton Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Thu, 10 Oct 2024 02:51:10 GMT
Hurricane Milton Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 10 Oct 2024 02:50:35 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 10 Oct 2024 03:28:44 GMT
Hurricane Milton Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics
Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Thu, 10 Oct 2024 03:19:26 GMT
Hurricane Milton Forecast Discussion Number 20
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024
000 WTNT44 KNHC 100249 TCDAT4 Hurricane Milton Discussion Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 1100 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024 Earlier Hurricane Hunter aircraft observations, WSR-88D radar imagery and velocities, and surface synoptic data indicate that Milton made landfall along the Florida Gulf coast just south of Tampa around 0030 UTC. The center is now moving over central Florida. While aircraft and Doppler velocity data indicated a landfall intensity of near 105 kt, assuming some inland decrease in intensity, the maximum winds are now estimated to be around 90 kt. There have been a number of surface reports of inland winds at damaging velocities. There have also been several reports of extreme rainfall rates, including one measurement of 5.09 inches in an hour at St. Petersburg. Center fixes indicate that the motion is east-northeastward, or 060/14 kt. Milton is now embedded within a belt of subtropical mid-tropospheric westerlies, and it should move across the Florida peninsula overnight. Afterward, the cyclone is likely to turn generally eastward during the ensuing few days while moving over the southwestern Atlantic waters and losing tropical characteristics. The official track forecast is similar to the dynamical model consensus early in the period and follows a blend of the GFS and ECMWF solutions in 2-4 days. The intensity guidance and the relatively fast forward speed of Milton indicate that the system will maintain hurricane intensity while crossing Florida. Milton is already interacting with a frontal zone and the global models show the system becoming embedded within the front in 24-36 hours. This guidance also suggests that Milton will not have sufficient baroclinic forcing to maintain its strength and will gradually spin down over the Atlantic, dissipating after 96 hours. Key Messages: 1. A large area of life-threatening storm surge is occurring along portions of the west-central coast of the Florida Peninsula and southwest Florida. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by damaging waves. Water levels will remain elevated into Thursday morning. 2. Damaging and life-threatening hurricane-force winds, especially in gusts, will spread inland across portions of the central Florida Peninsula to the Florida east coast within the Hurricane Warning area overnight and early Thursday. Residents should be prepared to take shelter in an interior room and away from windows. 3. Heavy rainfall across the Florida Peninsula through Thursday continues to bring the risk of catastrophic and life-threatening flash and urban flooding along with moderate to major river flooding, especially in areas where coastal and inland flooding combine to increase the overall flood threat. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/0300Z 27.6N 82.0W 90 KT 105 MPH...INLAND 12H 10/1200Z 28.7N 80.0W 70 KT 80 MPH...OVER WATER 24H 11/0000Z 29.2N 76.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 11/1200Z 29.3N 73.8W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 12/0000Z 29.0N 71.0W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 12/1200Z 29.0N 68.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 13/0000Z 29.5N 65.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 14/0000Z 31.6N 59.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
Hurricane Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 31
Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024
000
FONT13 KNHC 100241
PWSAT3
HURRICANE LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PONTA DELGADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
Hurricane Milton Forecast Discussion Number 20
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024
ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Hurricane Milton Discussion Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 1100 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024 Earlier Hurricane Hunter aircraft observations, WSR-88D radar imagery and velocities, and surface synoptic data indicate that Milton made landfall along the Florida Gulf coast just south of Tampa around 0030 UTC. The center is now moving over central Florida. While aircraft and Doppler velocity data indicated a landfall intensity of near 105 kt, assuming some inland decrease in intensity, the maximum winds are now estimated to be around 90 kt. There have been a number of surface reports of inland winds at damaging velocities. There have also been several reports of extreme rainfall rates, including one measurement of 5.09 inches in an hour at St. Petersburg. Center fixes indicate that the motion is east-northeastward, or 060/14 kt. Milton is now embedded within a belt of subtropical mid-tropospheric westerlies, and it should move across the Florida peninsula overnight. Afterward, the cyclone is likely to turn generally eastward during the ensuing few days while moving over the southwestern Atlantic waters and losing tropical characteristics. The official track forecast is similar to the dynamical model consensus early in the period and follows a blend of the GFS and ECMWF solutions in 2-4 days. The intensity guidance and the relatively fast forward speed of Milton indicate that the system will maintain hurricane intensity while crossing Florida. Milton is already interacting with a frontal zone and the global models show the system becoming embedded within the front in 24-36 hours. This guidance also suggests that Milton will not have sufficient baroclinic forcing to maintain its strength and will gradually spin down over the Atlantic, dissipating after 96 hours. Key Messages: 1. A large area of life-threatening storm surge is occurring along portions of the west-central coast of the Florida Peninsula and southwest Florida. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by damaging waves. Water levels will remain elevated into Thursday morning. 2. Damaging and life-threatening hurricane-force winds, especially in gusts, will spread inland across portions of the central Florida Peninsula to the Florida east coast within the Hurricane Warning area overnight and early Thursday. Residents should be prepared to take shelter in an interior room and away from windows. 3. Heavy rainfall across the Florida Peninsula through Thursday continues to bring the risk of catastrophic and life-threatening flash and urban flooding along with moderate to major river flooding, especially in areas where coastal and inland flooding combine to increase the overall flood threat. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/0300Z 27.6N 82.0W 90 KT 105 MPH...INLAND 12H 10/1200Z 28.7N 80.0W 70 KT 80 MPH...OVER WATER 24H 11/0000Z 29.2N 76.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 11/1200Z 29.3N 73.8W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 12/0000Z 29.0N 71.0W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 12/1200Z 29.0N 68.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 13/0000Z 29.5N 65.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 14/0000Z 31.6N 59.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN
Hurricane Leslie Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 10 Oct 2024 02:43:09 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 10 Oct 2024 02:43:09 GMT
Summary for Hurricane Leslie (AT3/AL132024)
…LESLIE NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE AND COULD MAKE A RUN AT MAJOR HURRICANE INTENSITY…
As of 11:00 PM AST Wed Oct 9
the center of Leslie was located near 22.6, -49.3
with movement NW at 8 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 972 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 105 mph.
Hurricane Milton Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20
Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024
000
FONT14 KNHC 100248
PWSAT4
HURRICANE MILTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024
0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MILTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LITTLE RIVER 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CHARLESTON SC 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAVANNAH GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KINGS BAY GA 34 36 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
WAYCROSS GA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 60 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
JACKSONVILLE 34 31 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
THE VILLAGES 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ORLANDO FL 50 74 X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 88 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PATRICK AFB 50 88 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
PATRICK AFB 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT PIERCE FL 50 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 67 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
MIAMI FL 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MARATHON FL 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
KEY WEST FL 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NAPLES FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT MYERS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VENICE FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VENICE FL 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TAMPA FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
APALACHICOLA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 29 6(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 5 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ANDROS 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Hurricane Milton Update Statement
Issued at 900 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024
000 WTNT64 KNHC 100058 TCUAT4 Hurricane Milton Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 900 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024 ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, EXTREME WINDS, AND FLASH FLOODING CONTINUE AS MILTON MOVES INLAND ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST... ...900 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE... A sustained wind of 64 mph (104 km/h) and a gust of 93 mph (150 km/h) was recently reported at the Albert Whitted Airport in St. Petersburg. A sustained wind of 78 mph (126 km/h) and a gust of 100 mph (161 km/h) was recently reported at a WeatherFlow station at Egmont Channel. A sustained wind of 73 mph (117 km/h) and a gust of 102 mph (165 km/h) was recently reported at a WeatherFlow station at Skyway Fishing Pier. A gust of 60 mph (97 km/h) was recently reported at the Orlando Executive Airport. The next update will be at 1000 PM EDT (0200 UTC). SUMMARY OF 900 PM EDT...0100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.4N 82.5W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM N OF SARASOTA FLORIDA ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SW OF ORLANDO FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Brown/Mahoney
Hurricane Milton Update Statement
Issued at 830 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024
000 WTNT64 KNHC 100030 TCUAT4 Hurricane Milton Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 830 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE MILTON MAKES LANDFALL NEAR SIESTA KEY FLORIDA.... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, EXTREME WINDS, AND FLASH FLOODING OCCURRING OVER THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA... NWS Doppler radar data indicate the eye of Hurricane Milton has made landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota County along the west coast of Florida. A sustained wind of 78 mph (126 km/h) and a gust of 97 mph (156 km/h) was recently reported at a NOAA C-MAN station in Venice. A sustained wind of 77 mph (124 km/h) and a gust of 100 mph (161 km/h) was recently reported at a WeatherFlow station at Egmont Channel. A sustained wind of 67 mph (107 km/h) and a gust of 83 mph (133 km/h) was recently reported at a WeatherFlow station at Skyway Fishing Pier. A sustained wind of 40 mph (64 km/h) and a gust of 73 mph (117 km/h) was recently reported at the Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport. The next update will be at 900 PM EDT (0100 UTC). SUMMARY OF 830 PM EDT...0030 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.3N 82.6W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM W OF SARASOTA FLORIDA ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SW OF ORLANDO FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Papin/Brown/Mahoney/Camposano
Hurricane Milton Update Statement
Issued at 600 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024
000 WTNT64 KNHC 092157 TCUAT4 Hurricane Milton Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 600 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024 ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WINDS, AND FLOODING RAINS EXPECTED TONIGHT FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA... ...600 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE... Heavy rainfall continues over the central Florida peninsula with hurricane-force wind gusts beginning to occur along the Florida gulf coast. A sustained wind of 58 mph (93 km/h) and a gust of 77 mph (124 km/h) was recently reported at a WeatherFlow station at Egmont Channel. A sustained wind of 54 mph (87 km/h) and a gust of 66 mph (106 km/h) was recently reported at the Albert Whitted Airport in St. Petersburg. The next update will be at 700 PM EDT (2300 UTC). SUMMARY OF 600 PM EDT...2200 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.0N 83.3W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM WSW OF SARASOTA FLORIDA ABOUT 150 MI...250 KM SW OF ORLANDO FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES $$ Forecaster Papin/Mahoney/Camposano
Hurricane Milton Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Wed, 09 Oct 2024 20:56:15 GMT
Hurricane Milton Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Wed, 09 Oct 2024 16:15:29 GMT
Hurricane Milton Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 09 Oct 2024 20:57:41 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 09 Oct 2024 21:28:54 GMT
Hurricane Milton Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics
Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Wed, 09 Oct 2024 21:23:29 GMT
Hurricane Milton Forecast Discussion Number 19
Issued at 500 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024
000 WTNT44 KNHC 092056 TCDAT4 Hurricane Milton Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 500 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024 WSR-88D radar images from Tampa and Key West show that Milton is a sheared hurricane, with the heaviest precipitation to the north of the center, and the eye open on the south side. This structure was confirmed by a recent Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter mission, where the eyewall was reported open to the southwest. The plane reported that the pressure has risen during the past few hours, with the latest center drop supporting a minimum pressure of 948 mb. Based on this pressure, and the reduction of measured flight-level winds, the intensity is estimated to be 105 kt. The highest Doppler velocities from the Tampa radar have been between 100 and 105 kt. Milton's recent motion has been northeastward (035 degrees) at about 15 kt. Track model guidance continues to insist that the hurricane will slow down a bit and turn more to the right very soon, taking the center near or just south of Tampa Bay later this evening. Milton's center is then expected to cross central Florida and turn east-northeastward as it emerges over the western Atlantic. Milton is likely to be right near the threshold of a major hurricane when it reaches the west-central coast of Florida this evening. Milton has grown in size today, particularly in the extent of 34- and 50-kt winds to the northwest of the center, and the northern eyewall appears most severe at the moment due to southwesterly shear. As a result, significant wind impacts are likely to occur north of the center, as well as to the south, regardless of the exact intensity at landfall. There will likely be a noticeable gradient of surge heights to the north of the landfall location, however, the risk of devastating storm surge still exists across much of the west-central and southwest coast of Florida given the size of the storm. Earlier scatterometer data suggested that Milton is already beginning to interact with a frontal boundary, and global model guidance suggests that the cyclone will become extratropical in about 36 hours over the western Atlantic. This is reflected in the new NHC forecast. Key Messages: 1. A large area of destructive storm surge, with highest inundations of 10 ft or greater, is expected along a portion of the west-central coast of the Florida Peninsula. Near the coast the surge will be accompanied by damaging waves. Water levels will rise rapidly as the eye approaches, and strong onshore winds on the backside of the hurricane will also cause a rapid rise in water as the center makes landfall. 2. Devastating hurricane-force winds are expected along portions of the west coast of Florida within the Hurricane Warning area. Life-threatening hurricane-force winds, especially in gusts, are expected to spread inland across the peninsula and to portions of the Florida east coast within the Hurricane Warning area tonight and early Thursday. Residents should be prepared to take shelter in an interior room, away from windows, as the core of the hurricane moves across the central Florida Peninsula. 3. The risk of strong tornadoes will continue into the evening hours across the southern and central portions of the Florida Peninsula. Be prepared to take immediate shelter in an interior room if a Tornado Warning is issued for your area. 4. Heavy rainfall across the Florida Peninsula through Thursday brings the risk of catastrophic and life-threatening flash and urban flooding along with moderate to major river flooding, especially in areas where coastal and inland flooding combine to increase the overall flood threat. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/2100Z 26.9N 83.4W 105 KT 120 MPH 12H 10/0600Z 28.0N 81.8W 80 KT 90 MPH...INLAND 24H 10/1800Z 28.9N 79.1W 60 KT 70 MPH...OVER WATER 36H 11/0600Z 29.2N 76.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 11/1800Z 29.3N 73.2W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 12/0600Z 29.4N 70.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 12/1800Z 29.9N 67.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 13/1800Z 31.2N 61.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 14/1800Z 33.1N 55.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Berg
Hurricane Milton Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19
Issued at 2100 UTC WED OCT 09 2024
000
FONT14 KNHC 092056
PWSAT4
HURRICANE MILTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024
2100 UTC WED OCT 09 2024
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MILTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CHARLESTON SC 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAVANNAH GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KINGS BAY GA 34 23 8(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
WAYCROSS GA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 38 12(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
JACKSONVILLE 34 18 8(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 89 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 94 5(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 4 17(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
THE VILLAGES 50 31 7(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ORLANDO FL 50 48 33(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
ORLANDO FL 64 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 95 5(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 16 67(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 1 26(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
PATRICK AFB 34 96 4(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PATRICK AFB 50 17 66(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
PATRICK AFB 64 1 27(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
FT PIERCE FL 34 86 8(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
FT PIERCE FL 50 6 17(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
FT PIERCE FL 64 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
W PALM BEACH 34 69 5(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
W PALM BEACH 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 52 2(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
MIAMI FL 34 12 1(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 6 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MARATHON FL 34 6 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
KEY WEST FL 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NAPLES FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NAPLES FL 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT MYERS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT MYERS FL 50 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VENICE FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VENICE FL 64 84 X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TAMPA FL 50 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TAMPA FL 64 41 X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ST MARKS FL 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
APALACHICOLA 34 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ALBANY GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 16 20(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 2 5( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ANDROS 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
Hurricane Leslie Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 09 Oct 2024 20:35:05 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 09 Oct 2024 20:35:05 GMT