Issued at 0900 UTC MON JUN 30 2025
171
FOPZ11 KNHC 300837
PWSEP1
TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062025
0900 UTC MON JUN 30 2025
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 10(30) X(30)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 8(24) 1(25)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 1(14)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 8(15) 9(24) X(24) X(24)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10)
SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15)
P VALLARTA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
15N 105W 34 2 19(21) 5(26) 2(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
MANZANILLO 34 X 14(14) 20(34) 3(37) 2(39) X(39) X(39)
MANZANILLO 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
L CARDENAS 34 4 12(16) 3(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 4 6(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
15N 100W 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ACAPULCO 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
15N 110W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
20N 110W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 48(67) 3(70) X(70)
20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 2(33) X(33)
20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 1(14) X(14)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 22(32) 1(33) X(33)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN