Issued at 100 AM PST Sun Nov 03 2024
000 WTPZ43 KNHC 030833 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Lane Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132024 100 AM PST Sun Nov 03 2024 Lane is fading fast. Strong southwesterly shear associated with the flow on the southern side of a broad upper-level trough has disrupted the circulation of the tropical cyclone. Recent scatterometer data show that the low-level circulation center is losing definition, and the maximum winds have decreased to 30 kt at most. Enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows that most of the associated deep convection, which was displaced well to the northeast of the estimated center, is dissipating. Given the current degradation of circulation and convection, the system is now expected to degenerate into a remnant low in about 12 hours. The initial motion is slightly south of west at around 5 kt. This general motion should continue for the next couple of days while the system is steered by the shallow low-level easterlies. The official track forecast has again been shifted slightly southward to conform to the latest numerical guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/0900Z 11.2N 131.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 03/1800Z 11.1N 132.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 04/0600Z 10.9N 133.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 04/1800Z 10.7N 135.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch