Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021
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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021
2100 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 43.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X 20(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
PTX BASQUES 34 X 36(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
EDDY POINT NS 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SYDNEY NS 34 2 14(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
SABLE ISLAND 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HALIFAX NS 34 23 X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
YARMOUTH NS 34 67 X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
MONCTON NB 34 36 X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
MONCTON NB 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ST JOHN NB 34 42 X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
EASTPORT ME 34 36 X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HYANNIS MA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NANTUCKET MA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
