Archives for July 6, 2025

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUL 06 2025

109 
WTNT23 KNHC 061435
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032025
1500 UTC SUN JUL 06 2025
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  79.2W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  79.2W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N  79.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 35.4N  79.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 37.0N  77.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N  79.2W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER ON CHANTAL.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND 
IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER 
BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCMAT3, WMO HEADER 
WTNT23 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

Issued at 1100 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025

000
WTNT33 KNHC 061436
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Chantal Advisory Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032025
1100 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025
 
...CHANTAL MOVING INTO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
...FLASH FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES AS RAINBANDS MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND 
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.4N 79.2W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SW OF LUMBERTON NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM W OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
All Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Chantal
was located near latitude 34.4 North, longitude 79.2 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this 
motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the northeast 
is expected this evening and that motion should continue into 
Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Chantal is expected 
to move over eastern North Carolina through tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected during the next 
24 hours, and the system is expected to degenerate into a trough of 
low pressure on Monday.  

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Chantal can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO
header WTNT43 KNHC.
 
RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Chantal will continue to produce heavy
rainfall across portions of central North Carolina into Monday.
Storm total rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with local amounts up to 6
inches, is expected. An elevated risk for flash flooding will
continue.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Depression Chantal, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf
 
TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two is possible today over parts 
of eastern North Carolina.
 
SURF: Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are expected
to continue at beaches along the U.S. east coast from northeastern
Florida to the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so.
 
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?ripCurrents
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Chantal. Future information on this system can be found in 
Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning 
at 500 PM EDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT3, WMO header WTNT33 KWNH, 
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown

Issued at 1100 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025

000
WTNT43 KNHC 061436
TCDAT3
 
Tropical Depression Chantal Discussion Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032025
1100 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025
 
The center of Chantal has been moving inland over northeastern South 
Carolina this morning and is currently near the North and South 
Carolina border.  Surface observations indicate that the winds have 
decreased, and the system is now being classified as a 30-kt 
tropical depression.  The cyclone should continue to weaken today as 
it moves farther inland.  The global models show the circulation 
opening up into a trough of low pressure on Monday, with the remnant 
moisture moving northeastward along the eastern seaboard of the U.S. 
through early Tuesday.
 
Chantal is moving northward or 360/8 kt.  A turn toward the
northeast is anticipated later today or this evening as the cyclone
moves around the western side of a mid-level ridge located off the
U.S. East Coast. The latest track prediction is similar to the
previous advisory and is near the middle of the guidance envelope.

The primary threat from Chantal will be heavy rainfall that is 
likely across portions of eastern and central North Carolina into 
Monday.

This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center
on Chantal. Future advisories on this system will be issued by
the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC). 
Those advisories can be found on the web at www.hurricanes.gov.
 
 
Key Messages:
 
1.Flash flood concerns continue today across portions of central 
North Carolina into Monday. Isolated to scattered flash flooding 
could occur within more urbanized areas.
 
2. Life-threatening surf and rip currents conditions are expected
to continue at beaches along the U.S. east coast from northeastern
Florida to the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so. Beach
goers should heed the advice of lifeguards and local officials.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  06/1500Z 34.4N  79.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 12H  07/0000Z 35.4N  79.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 24H  07/1200Z 37.0N  77.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 36H  08/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Brown

Issued at 800 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025

189 
WTNT33 KNHC 061150
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Chantal Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032025
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025
 
...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS A THREAT AS RAINBANDS FROM CHANTAL 
MOVE INLAND ACROSS NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH 
CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.0N 79.2W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NW OF CONWAY SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM W OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* South Santee River, SC to Surf City, NC
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Chantal was
located near latitude 34.0 North, longitude 79.2 West. Chantal is
moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn
northward and then northeastward is anticipated over the next 24
hours. On the forecast track, the center of Chantal is expected to
move further inland over South Carolina and then North Carolina
through the day today.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected as Chantal
moves inland, and the system is forecast to degenerate into a 
trough of low pressure on Monday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) 
mainly over water to the southeast of the center. In the past 
couple of hours, a sustained wind of 33 mph (54 km/h) with a gust to 
47 mph (76 km/h) was reported at Coastal Research and Monitoring 
Program buoy just off Sunset Beach, North Carolina. 
 
The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface
observations is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Chantal can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO
header WTNT43 KNHC.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of 
the warning area this morning.
 
RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Chantal is expected to produce heavy
rainfall across portions of northeastern South Carolina today and
across portions of North Carolina through Monday. Storm total
rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with local amounts up to 6 inches, is
expected. This would result in an elevated risk for flash flooding.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Storm Chantal, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf
 
TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes will be possible today across portions
of eastern North Carolina and extreme northeastern South Carolina.
 
SURF: Chantal is expected to bring life-threatening surf and rip
currents to portions of the coast from northeastern Florida to
the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so.
 
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/?ripCurrents
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 06 2025

000
WTNT23 KNHC 060841
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032025
0900 UTC SUN JUL 06 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  79.1W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 100SE   0SW  30NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  79.1W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N  78.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 34.9N  79.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 36.3N  78.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 37.7N  76.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N  79.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 06/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN

Issued at 500 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025

239 
WTNT33 KNHC 060843
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Chantal Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032025
500 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025
 
...CHANTAL NOW MOVING INLAND INTO FAR EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...
...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS A THREAT AS RAINBANDS PUSH ONSHORE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.6N 79.1W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM NE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM WSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The Tropical Storm Watch from Edisto Beach to South Santee River,
South Carolina has been discontinued.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* South Santee River, SC to Surf City, NC
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case for the
next 6-12 hours.
 
Interests elsewhere along the southeast coast of the United States
should monitor the progress of Chantal.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Chantal was 
located near latitude 33.6 North, longitude 79.1 West. Chantal is 
moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn 
northward and then northeastward is anticipated over the next 24 
hours. On the forecast track, the center of Chantal is expected to 
move further inland into South Carolina and then North Carolina 
through the day today.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Rapid weakening is anticipated now that Chantal has
made landfall, with the system opening up into a trough in 36-48
hours.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) 
from the center. In the past couple of hours, a sustained wind of 45 
mph (72 km/h) was reported at Apache Pier, South Carolina.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface
observations is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Chantal can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO
header WTNT43 KNHC.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the warning area 
and should persist through this morning.
 
RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Chantal is expected to produce heavy
rainfall across portions of northeastern South Carolina today and
across portions of North Carolina through Monday. Storm total
rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with local amounts up to 6 inches, is
expected. This would result in an elevated risk for flash flooding.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Storm Chantal, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf
 
STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
 
South Santee, SC to Surf City, NC...1-2 ft
 
For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge
inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak
Storm Surge Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge
 
TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes will be possible today across portions
of eastern North Carolina and extreme northeast South Carolina.
 
SURF: Chantal is expected to bring life-threatening surf and rip
currents to portions of the coast from northeastern Florida to
the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so.
 
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/?ripCurrents
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Papin

Issued at 500 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025

000
WTNT43 KNHC 060848
TCDAT3
 
Tropical Storm Chantal Discussion Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032025
500 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025
 
Before the Air Force Reconnaissance plane departed Chantal this 
morning, their final leg observed 700 mb flight level winds of 59 kt 
and a dropsonde estimated pressure down to 1002 mb. Near the same 
location as those peak flight-level winds, NWS Doppler Radar 
velocities from Wilmington showed persistent 65-70 kt inbound values 
at 3-5 thousand feet. These data points were the basis for 
increasing Chantal's winds to 50 kt at the 06 UTC intermediate 
advisory. Since that time, the structure of the tropical storm on 
radar has degraded and the exact center has been difficult to pin 
down, but appears to have made landfall near Litchfield Beach, South 
Carolina at approximately 08 UTC. The initial intensity has been 
lowered to 45 kt for this advisory given the degradation in 
appearance now just after landfall and the decreasing Doppler radial 
velocities. 
 
Chantal is estimated to now be moving north-northwestward, at 345/7 
kt. A turn northward and then northeastward is anticipated by the 
end of today as the cyclone rounds the westward side of a mid-level 
ridge located off the U.S. East Coast. The latest NHC track forecast 
is shifted just a bit eastward, mostly based on the initial 
position, but falls in line closely to the prior forecast track in 
24-36 h. Weakening has already started as Chantal moves inland. 
Weakening should continue as the full circulation moves inland, with 
Chantal likely weakening back to a tropical depression later today. 
The majority of the global and hurricane-regional models then show 
the circulation opening up into a trough after 36 h, though its 
likely Chantal's remnant moisture will continue onward into the 
Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern United States after this time period.
 
Chantal is expected to remain asymmetric with its strongest winds
and rainfall to the right of the landfall location.
 
Key Messages:
 
1. Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue in the warning 
area through this morning. 
 
2. Heavy rainfall across portions of northeastern South Carolina 
will cause some flash flooding concerns from Tropical Storm Chantal 
today and across portions of North Carolina through Monday. Isolated 
to scattered flash flooding could occur within more urbanized areas.
 
3. Chantal is expected to bring life-threatening surf and rip
currents along the coast from northeastern Florida to the
Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so. Beach goers
should heed the advice of lifeguards and local officials.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  06/0900Z 33.6N  79.1W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  06/1800Z 34.9N  79.3W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  07/0600Z 36.3N  78.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 36H  07/1800Z 37.7N  76.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 48H  08/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Papin

Issued at 200 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025

699 
WTNT33 KNHC 060552
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Chantal Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032025
200 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025

...CHANTAL A LITTLE STRONGER AND CLOSE TO LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH 
CAROLINA COAST...
...FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS INCREASE AS RAINBANDS MOVES ONSHORE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.2N 78.8W
ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM ENE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* South Santee River, SC to Surf City, NC
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Edisto Beach to South Santee River, SC
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
the next 12 hours
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12
hours.
 
Interests elsewhere along the southeast coast of the United States
should monitor the progress of Chantal.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Chantal was 
located near latitude 33.2 North, longitude 78.8 West.  Chantal is 
moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). A motion toward the 
north-northwest is expected overnight, followed by a turn to the 
northeast by the end of today. On the forecast track, the center of 
Chantal is expected to move across the coast of South Carolina in 
the next few hours. 
 
Recent aircraft and land-based radar velocity data indicate that 
maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with 
higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before landfall, 
with rapid weakening forecast after landfall.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) 
from the center. Within the past hour, Springmaid Pier in South 
Carolina reported a sustained wind of 47 mph (76 km/h) gusting to 
56 mph (90 km/h). 
 
The estimated minimum central pressure based on Air Force dropsonde
data is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Chantal can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO
header WTNT43 KNHC.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the warning and 
should persist through this morning. Tropical storm conditions are 
possible in the watch area overnight.
 
RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Chantal is expected to produce heavy
rainfall across portions of North Carolina through Monday. Storm
total rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with local amounts up to 6 inches,
is expected. This would result in an elevated risk for flash
flooding.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Storm Chantal, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf
 
STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
 
South Santee, SC to Surf City, NC...1-2 ft
 
For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge
inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak
Storm Surge Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge
 
TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible today across
parts of eastern South Carolina and eastern North Carolina.
 
SURF: Chantal is expected to bring life-threatening surf and rip
currents to portions of the coast from northeastern Florida to
the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so.
 
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/?ripCurrents
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Papin