Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUN 19 2025
302
FOPZ15 KNHC 190851
PWSEP5
HURRICANE ERICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052025
0900 UTC THU JUN 19 2025
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ZIHUATANEJO 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
15N 100W 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ACAPULCO 34 67 12(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
ACAPULCO 50 5 13(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
ACAPULCO 64 1 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
P MALDONADO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
P MALDONADO 50 92 X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
P MALDONADO 64 75 X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
P ANGEL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH