Issued at 800 AM PDT Sat Oct 26 2024
084 WTPZ42 KNHC 261434 TCDEP2 Hurricane Kristy Discussion Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122024 800 AM PDT Sat Oct 26 2024 Kristy is rapidly weakening. Satellite images show the center of the hurricane on the southern edge of the central dense overcast, with the southern part of the circulation exposed due to strong shear. The current intensity is set to 65 kt, consistent with the latest estimates. Further rapid weakening is anticipated due to a continuation of strong shear and Kristy moving over cooler waters. The new intensity forecast is reduced from the previous one, similar to the intensity consensus aids. Kristy should become post-tropical without any organized convection in about 24 h. The hurricane continues to move northwestward at about 12 kt this morning. This general motion is expected until late today when the mid-level circulation of the cyclone becomes decoupled with the low-level center. Kristy should then turn westward on Sunday and southwestward late that day as a remnant low. Very little change was made to the previous forecast, which remains steady in showing this course. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/1500Z 19.7N 128.4W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 27/0000Z 21.1N 129.2W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 27/1200Z 22.3N 130.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 36H 28/0000Z 22.5N 131.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 28/1200Z 21.9N 132.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake